The location of the storm Biparjoy: Pakistan’s coastline areas are expected to be in dangerAccording to the PMD notification, it is now unclear which direction the storm will travel in.The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) issued a warning on Saturday that the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “BIPARJOY” over the east-central Arabian Sea is maintaining its intensity and has further tracked north-northeastward during the course of the past 12 hours.A warning from the meteorological agency indicated that the storm “lies near Latitude 16.7°N and Longitude 66.4°E at a distance of about 910km south of Karachi, 890km south of Thatta, and 990km southeast of Ormara.”
south of Karachi
The storm was formerly located 1,040 kilometres to the south of Karachi, 1,020 kilometres to the south of Thatta, and 1,110 miles to the southeast of Ormara.”Around the heart of the system, maximum sustained surface winds are 120-130 kilometres per hour, with gusts reaching 150 kilometres per hour. The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (V SCS) ” BIPARJOY” over the east-central Arabian Sea has maintained its intensity as it has moved north-northeastward over the past 12 hours. It is currently located near 16.7 degrees north latitude and 66.4 degrees east longitude. It is approximately 910 kilometres south of Karachi, 890 kilometres south of Thatta, and 990 kilometres southeast of Ormara.
Around the core of the system, maximum sustained surface winds are 120-130 kilometres per hour, with gusts reaching 150 kilometres per hour. The favourable environmental circumstances (sea surface temperatures between 30 and 32 degrees Celsius, little vertical wind shear, and upper-level divergence) are in support of the system becoming further more intense. As a result of changes in the upper-level steering winds, there is still a great deal of ambiguity regarding the ultimate course projection of VSCS “BIPARJOY” by global models. Some take it to the coast of Makran and North Oman, while others indicate that it will make landfall on the coast of Gujarat and Sindh in India.
In light of this uncertainty, it is anticipated that the system will continue moving farther north/northeastward during the following 18-24 hours, and then it will make a little recurve to the north-northwest. PMD’s cyclone warning centre in Karachi is currently monitoring the system and will release an update in accordance with their findings. Possible Impacts:Because the circumstances in the Arabian Sea may become quite rough or high together with high tides along the coast, fishermen have been urged not to venture out into open water beginning tomorrow, June 11, 2023, and continuing onwards until the system has passed.
The rain-thunderstorm with some heavy falls and squally gusts is likely to arrive in Sindh-Makran coast from 13 June evening/night onwards, according to its probable north-northeast track. This is expected to occur in Sindh-Makran coast.
Winds of a high intensity might potentially cause damage to structures that are both loose and fragile.Around the system canter, sea conditions are extremely high or amazing, and the greatest wave height is 2.